Economy Intelligence Β· Full coverage

πŸ‡³πŸ‡¬ Nigeria

Africa's largest economy by population and one of its largest by GDP, Nigeria is where GrowthIntelAfrica has reported daily for six years. Oil exports, a volatile naira, high-but-easing inflation and a vast informal SME sector define the operating environment.

USD/NGN
1,328
as of 23 Sept
NGX ASI
249,805
β–² record high
as of 18 Sep 2026
Exchange
Nigerian Exchange (NGX)
Currency
Naira (NGN)
This week's Nigeria brief Β· 11 Sep 2026
What Nigerian business owners need to know this week
Headline inflation cooling to 15.4% while food surges past 20%, oil back near $96, and the October harvest looming as the real price-setter β€” the week's signals and what each changes for your pricing, costs and sourcing.
Read the Nigeria brief β†’
All Nigeria weekly briefs Β· latest 18 Sept 2026 β†’

The numbers that matter now

Verified Β· Live
Business Confidence
71
β–² 3 pts vs last month
Inflation
17.8%
β–Ό easing Β· 4th month
PMI
52.4
β–² expansion territory

Source: NBS Β· CBN Β· Stanbic IBTC PMI Β· Aug 2026

The read from our desk

Nigeria's operators are navigating a disinflation that hasn't yet reached the shelf. Headline inflation has eased for several months, but the Monetary Policy Rate at 26.25% keeps borrowing costly, and fixed supplier contracts mean many businesses feel input-cost relief on a lag. The naira's stability β€” and importers' access to FX β€” remains the single biggest swing factor for margins into the next quarter.

What to watch in Nigeria

  • β†’Naira stability and FX access for importers
  • β†’Inflation trajectory and its lag into input costs
  • β†’MPR at 26.25% β€” borrowing stays expensive
  • β†’Diesel and energy costs for logistics-heavy businesses

Key SME sectors

Retail, hospitality, professional services, agriculture, manufacturing, fintech.